The Next War
February 4, 2006
Is anybody concerned about the next war in the middle east? It seems to me that it is unavoidable and has the potential to be far bigger than Iraq or Afganistan put together. It has the potential to be WW3 with US/Israel/Britain vs. Iran/Syria/Palestine. It has the potential to seriously affect world oil supplies and cause a global recession as prices skyrocket further.
There is alot of talk about diplomacy, but it seems clear to me that Iran will never give up any control of the nuclear fuel cycle and they are intent on the destruction of Israel. In addtion, US/Israel will never let them get away with having nukes in the same way as N.Korea is getting away with it.
Iran doesn’t have the backing of any superpower and US/Israel will bomb them. Ibelieve that it will happen sooner rather than later, most likely before elections occur in Israel/US. I believe the catalyst will be
1. issue referred to UN Security council.
2. Iran begins full scale enrichment as threatened.
3. Wide scale massive bombing by US/Israel to delay nuclear production.
4. Further international sanctions.
It appears to me to be far worse than the build up to gulf war 1 or 2. The middle east is a powder keg right now and Iran, Syria and Palestine appear to be allied to respond to any attack by Israel. Israel will be brought in to this war, the US will not go alone. They will not let Iran get away with thumbing their nose at international consensus, unlike N.Korea that had China backing further talks. Iran’s policy is clearly the destruction of israel, the US and Israel will bomb their nuclear facilities, sooner rather than later to delay Iran’s acquisition of a nuclear bomb. Then they will impose sanctions and promote civil war. This already happened with Iraq and they will try to implement the same strategy. Unfortunately, I think that Iran and allies are going to put up a greater resistance this time it is going to have a greater affect on the global economy. The Saudis can’t make up the difference this time. The US knows this, thus the recent interest in reducing dependance on foreign oil. The end result is … OIL TYCOONS GET RICH, BUSH GETS MORE MONEY FROM HIS TEXAS BACKERS